Dave McHale · Marist
These are the dumbest, most unscientific numbers I've read in a long time. HALF of ALL blackberry users plan to switch? HALF of ALL iphone users will switch? A full QUARTER of android users will switch? Who the hell did these people talk to? Does this phone make you coffee in the morning? Put the kids on the bus? Go to work and do your job for you?
40% of the entire mobile userbase will NOT have the iphone5, sorry. :P Even 40% of the SMARTPHONE mobile userbase won't have the phone.
Reply · 13 · · September 28 at 7:42am
Dominic Pettifer · Top Commenter · University of Abertay Dundee
I'd imagine lots of people will say they 'plan' to switch but many probably won't go through with it, what it does show though is intent and overall consumer interest, even if only half those 52% of Blackberry owners switch, that's still extremely bad news for Blackberry.
Reply · 5 · · September 28 at 8:19am
Andy Norris · Top Commenter · Redmond, Washington
On a two-year upgrade cycle, it's plausible that half of iPhone users will switch. But for the rest, I think it's just a silly season response. Forward "are you planning to" surveys have overreported iPhone numbers for a while now.
If everyone who said they were going to buy an iPhone over an Android phone 6 months ago had done so, the 56% Android 28% iPhone numbers would be reversed. Either people change their minds once they actually decide to buy a phone and see what the options are, or people are misreporting in the first place to seem trendy.
Reply · 3 · · September 28 at 10:21am
William Le · Westminster Seminary California
If you really think it is that ludicrous why is the post so angsty? sure the numbers are ludicrous, but for Apple, isn't this becoming the norm? I think it'll be at least in the neighborhood of these estimates.
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 4:23pm
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Don Zurbrick
I will be one of those 41%.
Reply · 9 · · September 28 at 6:45am
Victor Caballero · Top Commenter · Pasadena, California
me too. Sprint do it right!
Reply · · September 28 at 6:50am
Jakub Horodecki · Tampa, Florida
Me too!
Reply · · September 28 at 7:58am
Vinnie Zeitler
Do you have to switch carriers?
Reply · · September 28 at 8:14am
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Brian Lovett · Colorado Springs, Colorado
These have to be the most exaggerated numbers I have ever heard. 41% of mobile users? Seriously? Someone has some bad data.
Reply · 7 · · September 28 at 7:29am
Zsolt Vasvari · Top Commenter · Owner at AnMoney Pte Ltd
" InMobi, one of the largest independent mobile ad networks".
Never heard of them.
Reply · 2 · · September 28 at 7:07am
Seth Eheart · Top Commenter · UIllinois
Where the FUCK did people get these numbers? This is utter and total garbage. Shame on TC for even giving this story any light. This basically states that almost half the mobile population will have iPhones and as a student at a major tech university, I can tell you that while iPhones are popular, many more people are getting interested in Android and Windows phones. Just because someone has fabricated metrics, doesn't mean you should post them. You are better than that TC or at least you used to be.
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 10:18am
Brandon R. Celio
Don't you have an Iphone Seth?
Reply · · September 28 at 10:18am
Seth Eheart · Top Commenter · UIllinois
I do, but I'd say that about 75% of my friends don't.
Reply · · September 28 at 10:20am
Ryan Charlebois · University of Ottawa
Seth Eheart so you kind of like ride the apple bandwagon but then deny you are on it. Oh ok.
Reply · · September 28 at 10:18pm
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Joe Tweets · Top Commenter · Redmond, Washington
I love how all the Phandroids declare this survey as "dumb, unscientific, and null & void" just coz they don't agree with its results, and yet on the Android market share posts, they shoot down anybody who DARES even discuss the study's results. The comments space on here is starting to look like Engadget's all over again.
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 3:29pm
David Murphy · Stewardship Data and Business Analyst at Stanford University
Half of this story was copied and pasted from the press release. Where are the quote marks, TechCrunch?
http://www.sacbee.com/2011/09/28/3944886/inmobi-smartphone-study-reveals.html
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 8:20pm
Anirudh Chhabria · Montgomery Upper Middle School
I will 1 of those 41% but I don't think apples just going to release a product update since they kept everyone waiting so long I think they might an updated an iPhone 4 and also an iPhone 5.
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 6:51am
Nikita Tovstoles · Co-Founder & CTO at Ecorebates Inc
Title aside, I think the cited report implies that 41% of *smartphone* (not any mobile phone) users "plan" to buy an iPhone 5.
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 9:43am
Jason Aplin
I'm in and looking forward to a phone that does't freeze up.
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 7:17am
Chris Tiberius Lockhart · Works at Play Now, a play ground equipment company
So with ~900M mobile users in the Americas, Let's say about half are in North America. inMobi is suggesting that Apple is going to sell 185M iPhone5s in the US, Canada and Mexico when they only sold ~40M iPhones WORLDWIDE in 2010? Color me skeptical. My stats come from http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats#subscribers and http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/10/01/06/piper_15_8m_us_iphone_sales_in_2010_even_without_verizon.html.
Reply · · September 28 at 10:18am
Steve Martin · San Diego, California
Where does 900M come from? Population of the US is only 308M.
Reply · · September 28 at 11:51am
Steve Martin · San Diego, California
I saw your source. I think they mean broadband users.
Reply · · September 28 at 11:56am
Chris Tiberius Lockhart · Works at Play Now, a play ground equipment company
Steve Martin Mobile subscribers in the Americas (North and South) is about 900M. The stats I linked to said 880M, I rounded for convenience. I'm taking half that (~450M) as an approximation for the total number of mobile users in Mexico (pop 112M) plus the US (pop 308M) plus Canada (pop 35M). I realize it isn't exact. That not every person in all three countries has a mobile device. Of course, lot's of folks have more than one mobile device. I have 3. The article above said 41% of North American mobile users will buy an iPhone5. 41% of 450M is about 185M. 185 Million iPhone5 devices. Let's say I way overestimated the number of North American mobile users. Let's say instead of 450M there are only 200M. That's still 82 MILLION iPhone 5s. They only sold ~40M worldwide in 2010. Doesn't that strike you as a bit of an optimistic projection?
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 12:02pm
John Fernandez
nope. Windows Phone 7 mango here. iPhone will never have facebook integrated like wp7. enjoy that "twitter integration" though, even though its just a crappy native application, and not really integrated.
Reply · · September 28 at 6:50am
Bruce Campbell · Kansas City, Missouri
You could be right, although right now its foolish to be so declarative about things you couldn't possible know. http://www.gottabemobile.com/2011/09/26/facebook-integration-coming-to-ios-5-screenshots/ These might not be real screenshots or a real update, but this along with Twitter integration would be a big deal. Anyways, Ill take a vast library of quality apps over Mango as it stands today. It's not like the iOS twitter app is difficult to use...
Reply · 1 · · September 28 at 7:12am
Troy Sherwen · Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
41% of people are going to buy a phone without having a single spec confirmed, let alone even being annouced that it exists! 41% of people are idiots...
Reply · · Thursday at 5:09am
WhiteGlossy UndergroundBoard
iPhone Five... Shmiphone Shmive, we have top secret specs (with photos) of the IPHONE 6! don't believe us? yeah... I wouldn't either. So, we included proof. http://wp.me/p106i6-2M7
Reply · · September 28 at 10:23am
Nick Fleker Felker · Top Commenter
These don't seem like legitimate numbers. I'm sure there's some lying going on to seem more preferable. I for one, wasn't surveyed, so this has to be false.
Reply · · September 28 at 12:44pm
Devon Nullz · Top Commenter · Bent over at Shell Oil Company
That figure seems low, given all the sheep I know who just had to have an iPhone 4 when it came out when it offered little over the 3Gs.
Reply · · September 28 at 9:36am
Jeff Johnson
Indeed. I look at weblogs a lot. iPhone is there. a lot. I have to get one so I can be sure specific webcontent shows up nicely in it. +1 the 5 for me.
Reply · · September 28 at 7:03am
Antonio Ca' Zorzi · CEO/Founder at Mobile Itineraries SARL
The new mobile interface of the comment section is a pain. Sorry for the rant...
Reply · · September 28 at 7:31pm
Kush Depala
I'm only happy because I might just be able to afford an iphone 4 now...
Reply · · September 28 at 12:51pm
Richi Varma
LOL............my stomach hurt.
Reply · · September 28 at 12:35pm
Cedric Tercy · CEO at The Aeronautica Group LLC
Even MG Siegler isn't partial enough to beleive this BS.
Reply · · September 28 at 10:50am
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Reply · · September 28 at 11:58pm
Moe James · Top Commenter
I am currently in the process of complimenting websites with a Mobile version. This is sweet news to my ears! hahah! I came across a sweet Mobile Marketing informational video on YubenTuben that is newbie friendly! It really gets the juices and thoughts flowing, on How to get into the Mobile arena. Like the Big Dogs! http://www.mediafileshare.com/video/1265
Reply · · September 28 at 10:21am
Andrew Nenakhov · Director at Red Solution
That's just lame, to be going to buy a device that wasn't even announced yet, without specs, design and all. I hereby declare this survey null and void. Perhaps it was carried out in a fanboy camp, wich makes it irrelevant. 100% of my 3 friends going to buy Nexus Prime, so does it mean it'll take 100% market share??
Reply · 6 · · September 28 at 7:19am
Justin Melville · Top Commenter · Windsor, Ontario
Apple is like a religion, you just gotta go on faith, logic is irrelevant.
Reply · 2 · · September 28 at 7:41am
Dominic Pettifer · Top Commenter · University of Abertay Dundee
Not everyone is obsessed over specs. Apple does have (a somewhat deserved) reputation of releasing great, high-quality smartphones, that's enough for a lot of people to go on.
Reply · 3 · · September 28 at 8:23am
Tom Graber
It has worked for them so far, so there is precedence that this strategy is successful. They are operating within Apple textbook release schedule and hype machine. Quiet... wait for it... boom.
As for the specs argument, do a random poll in a public place: a mall, a train, the office, whatever and randomly ask 100 people the specs of their smartphone. Try it... it will be fun. For those of us that look at the market, the players, the technology, and yes, the specs, we deeply care and are quite passionate about it. Other people: not so much.
We tend to evaluate the specs, the models, the carriers and the majority of everyone else tends to follow marketing, social media and press. And let's not for get word of mouth, still easily the most influential. There is literally an army of well connected influencers that will fall in love with this device and the media love fest that has become a reoccurring cultural event with an Apple product launch will ensue.
Reply · 2 · · September 28 at 10:08am
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Mariusz Pore
I wait for iPhone 10. Then I will buy it! :)
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